Financials

CEOs

Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?

2% chance

$126,764 volume · Closes Jan 1, 2027

2026. If OpenAI's CEO (including an interim CEO) changes by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

CEOs

Who will be the next CEO of X?

Elon Musk8% Nikita Bier6% Grok5% Mahmoud Reza Banki5%

$109,869 volume · Closes Jan 1, 2027

2026. If Elon Musk is confirmed as CEO for X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

CEOs

Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

3% chance

$96,834 volume · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Before 2027. If Elon Musk is no longer CEO of Tesla by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

CEOs

Who will replace Jamie Dimon as JPMorgan CEO?

Troy Rohrbaugh 47% Yes No

Doug Petno 33% Yes No

Jennifer Piepszak 20% Yes No

$24,947 vol +1 more · Closes Jan 1, 2030

CEOs

Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?

Christoph Pachler 18% Yes No

Alexander Pinkevich 11% Yes No

Thomas Oliveira 8% Yes No

$16,482 vol +9 more · Closes Jan 1, 2027

CEOs

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO this year?

chance

Yes —No —

$11,071 vol Closes Jan 1, 2027

CEOs

Who will be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?

Troy Rohrbaugh 42% Yes No

Doug Petno 33% Yes No

Jennifer Piepszak 15% Yes No

$8,410 vol +3 more · Closes Dec 31, 2035

CEOs

Ed Bastian out as Delta CEO before 2028?

32%

chance

Yes —No —

$4,595 vol Closes Jan 1, 2028

CEOs

Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs?

John Waldron 81% Yes No

Kim Posnett 8% Yes No

Marc Nachmann 7% Yes No

$3,369 vol +3 more · Closes Dec 31, 2035

CEOs

When will Larry Fink leave as BlackRock CEO?

Before Jan 1, 2032 56% Yes No

Before Jan 1, 2030 34% Yes No

Before Jan 1, 2028 10% Yes No

$60 vol Closes Jan 1, 2032

CEOs

When will Bernard Arnault leave as LVMH CEO?

Before Jan 1, 2034 39% Yes No

Before Jan 1, 2031 18% Yes No

Before Jan 1, 2029 9% Yes No

$12 vol Closes Jan 1, 2034

CEOs

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs?

Ashok Varadhan 11% Yes No

Dan Dees 10% Yes No

Marc Nachmann 10% Yes No

$7 vol +2 more · Closes Dec 31, 2030

CEOs

When will David Solomon leave as Goldman Sachs CEO?

Before Jan 1, 2029 56% Yes No

Before Jul 1, 2028 43% Yes No

Before Jan 1, 2028 23% Yes No

$2 vol +1 more · Closes Jan 1, 2029

CEOs

When will Marc Benioff leave as Salesforce CEO?

Before Jan 1, 2032 31% Yes No

Before Jan 1, 2030 19% Yes No

Before Jan 1, 2028 7% Yes No

$0 vol Closes Jan 1, 2032

CEOs

When will Michael Dell leave as Dell CEO?

Before Jan 1, 2032 28% Yes No

Before Jan 1, 2030 16% Yes No

Before Jan 1, 2028 6% Yes No

$0 vol Closes Jan 1, 2032

CEOs

When will Hock Tan leave as Broadcom CEO?

Before Jan 1, 2033 51% Yes No

Before Jan 1, 2031 23% Yes No

Before Jan 1, 2029 9% Yes No

$0 vol Closes Jan 1, 2033

CEOs

When will Stephen Schwarzman leave as Blackstone CEO?

Before Jan 1, 2029 22% Yes No

Before Jan 1, 2028 12% Yes No

Before Jul 1, 2027 7% Yes No

$0 vol Closes Jan 1, 2029